Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Anna Blinkova in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Anna Blinkova. This market will resolve to 'Anna Blinkova' if Anna Blinkova advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Sasnovich and Blinkova are scheduled to meet in the first or early rounds of the Paris tournament on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, suggesting traders view this as a genuine toss-up. Both players have competed at WTA level with variable consistency; Sasnovich, a Belarusian player in her early thirties, has shown capacity for deep runs in majors but faces age-related form questions, whilst Blinkova, a Russian player, has demonstrated unpredictable results across surfaces. The even probability implies no clear consensus on head-to-head advantage or current ranking differential.
Historical matchups between players of similar ranking and age typically settle near even odds unless one has a pronounced surface preference or recent momentum. Sasnovich holds a slight career advantage in head-to-head records against comparable opponents, though Blinkova's clay-court performance has improved in recent seasons. The Paris clay surface itself becomes a material variable; Blinkova's recent results on European clay through April 2026 will carry weight in how the probability shifts before settlement.
Traders should monitor injury announcements through early May, as both players' fitness status often determines match outcomes at this level. Tournament draw confirmation and seeding assignments, typically released one week before play, may shift implied probability if either player faces unexpected early-round positioning. Weather delays at Roland Garros could trigger the seven-day resolution clause, making scheduling reliability a secondary consideration through the settlement window closing 21 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $96 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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