Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Katie Volynets in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Emma Navarro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Emma Navarro and Katie Volynets are scheduled to meet in a first-round match at the Paris clay-court tournament on 13 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 53% implied probability for Navarro's advancement, with the settlement window closing on 20 May 2026 at 12:30 UTC. Polymarket's order book is pricing this fixture with modest separation between the two outcomes, suggesting genuine uncertainty amongst traders on the day's conditions and matchup dynamics.
Navarro has established herself as a consistent performer on the WTA tour, whilst Volynets remains a developing talent with variable results across surfaces. Historical clay-court records show that surface-specific preparation and recent tournament form typically drive outcomes more than raw rankings alone. The current 53–47 split suggests the market views this as a genuine toss-up rather than a clear favourite scenario, reflecting Navarro's slight edge in experience without dismissing Volynets' potential on clay.
Traders should monitor official tournament scheduling confirmations, as the seven-day delay clause creates a 50–50 resolution trigger if the match is postponed beyond 20 May without completion. Weather forecasts for the Paris region during the tournament window and any late withdrawals or injury announcements will shift the order book materially. Recent WTA results from both players on clay surfaces in April and early May 2026 will provide concrete form data; check official WTA tour announcements and tournament draws as they are finalised.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$72 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $72 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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