Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tyra Caterina Grant and Nikola Bartunkova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 12:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyra Caterina Grant' if Tyra Caterina Grant advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Tyra Caterina Grant. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Nikola Bartunkova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Tyra Caterina Grant and Nikola Bartunkova are scheduled to compete in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Rome's premier WTA 1000 event, on 8 May 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of liquidity at the ask side or a consensus that Grant's advancement is priced out entirely. With settlement closing on 15 May, traders have a seven-day window to monitor match outcomes and any scheduling disruptions that might trigger the 50-50 tie-break clause.
Grant, a Canadian player ranked outside the top 100, has limited recent WTA main-draw experience and no prior meetings with Bartunkova on record. Bartunkova, a Czech competitor, similarly operates in the lower rankings with inconsistent results on the professional circuit. Neither player commands significant seeding or media attention at Rome, making historical head-to-head data and recent form sheets sparse reference points for calibrating true match probability.
Traders should monitor official WTA draw confirmations and any injury withdrawals in the days before 8 May, as late substitutions are common at tier-one events. Weather delays at the Foro Italico could push matches beyond the scheduled window, and any postponement exceeding seven days without completion would resolve the market to 50-50. Current pricing suggests the market has either locked in a strong conviction on Bartunkova or faces genuine illiquidity on the Grant side.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Nikola Bartunkova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$117K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $97K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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