Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Noelia Zeballos and Laura Badia in the ITF Women Brasilia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noelia Zeballos' if Noelia Zeballos advances against Laura Badia. This market will resolve to 'Laura Badia' if Laura Badia advances against Noelia Zeballos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Brasilia: Noelia Zeballos vs Laura Badia | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Noelia Zeballos and Laura Badia are scheduled to contest a Women's ITF match in Brasilia on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Zeballos, suggesting the market has priced in either a strong expectation of her victory or a structural assumption about match completion. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny, as ITF-level women's tennis frequently produces competitive outcomes between similarly-ranked players.
Historical ITF Brasilia tournaments show variable seeding strength and draw composition year-on-year. Zeballos, an Argentine player with ITF circuit experience, typically competes at this tier, whilst Badia's recent form and ranking relative to Zeballos would normally suggest a more balanced matchup. The 100% probability on the order book may reflect incomplete information about player availability, recent withdrawals, or an algorithmic mispricing rather than a genuine certainty of outcome. Comparable ITF women's matches between unseeded or lower-seeded players rarely settle at such extremes absent injury news or withdrawal confirmation.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament announcements through early June for any player withdrawal, injury statement, or schedule changes. The settlement window closes 11 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status in the days immediately before the match would be the primary catalyst affecting current pricing. Any delay beyond 11 June without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Brasilia: Noelia Zeballos vs Laura Badia" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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