Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Angelina Voloshchuk and Ariana Arseneault in the ITF Women Montemor-O-Novo, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angelina Voloshchuk' if Angelina Voloshchuk advances against Ariana Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Angelina Voloshchuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Ariana Arseneault | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Angelina Voloshchuk faces Ariana Arseneault in the ITF Women's tournament at Montemor-O-Novo, Portugal, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Voloshchuk's advancement, suggesting either substantial confidence in her form relative to Arseneault or minimal liquidity establishing a genuine market price.
ITF Women's matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when players lack extensive head-to-head history or recent tournament data. Comparable fixtures on Polymarket have occasionally settled at extreme probabilities only to reverse when matches begin, especially where player availability or surface preference becomes material. Without recent competitive records readily available for both competitors, the current probability likely reflects limited order book depth rather than sophisticated probability assessment.
The settlement window extends to 10 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Traders should monitor tournament confirmations, player withdrawal announcements, and any surface or scheduling changes from the ITF, which occasionally alter match timings at lower-tier events. Injury disclosures or late withdrawals could trigger resolution under the 50-50 tie clause. The early morning scheduled time (5:00 AM ET) may also affect liquidity patterns as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Ariana Arseneault" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$544 in lifetime turnover and $61K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $534 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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