Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Tatum Evans in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Vagramov' if Alexandra Vagramov advances against Tatum Evans. This market will resolve to 'Tatum Evans' if Tatum Evans advances against Alexandra Vagramov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Alexandra Vagramov vs Tatum Evans | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alexandra Vagramov faces Tatum Evans in an ITF Women's tournament match at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Vagramov's advancement at 27%, reflecting market participants' assessment that Evans enters as the favoured player. Settlement occurs at 17:15 UTC on 10 June, allowing a week-long window for the match to complete; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days without resolution triggers a 50-50 split.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when comparing players with limited professional records or recent tournament activity. Historical precedent suggests that lower-seeded or unseeded players in ITF events win roughly 35–40% of matches against higher-ranked opponents, though this varies substantially based on surface, recent form, and head-to-head records. The 27% probability currently embedded in the order book sits below this baseline, suggesting the market has incorporated specific information about Evans' relative strength or Vagramov's recent performance.
Traders should monitor ITF Lakewood's official draw confirmation and any late withdrawals, which occasionally occur in lower-tier professional tennis. Recent form updates, injury reports, or surface-preference data released closer to the scheduled date could shift the probability materially. The match's position in the draw and potential scheduling conflicts with other tournaments may also affect player preparation or motivation. Any announcement regarding venue changes or surface conditions should be tracked, as these factors disproportionately influence outcomes in women's ITF competition.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Alexandra Vagramov vs Tatum Evans" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$411 in lifetime turnover and $921 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $411 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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