Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Benjamin Willwerth in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Benjamin Willwerth. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Benjamin Willwerth | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nicolas Tepmahc faces Benjamin Willwerth in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Monastir, Tunisia. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for Tepmahc's advancement, reflecting either decisive market conviction or limited liquidity in the book at present. The settlement window closes on 4 June 2026, providing a six-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date to account for potential delays.
ITF Futures matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in outcomes, with ranking disparities often proving less predictive than surface conditions and recent form. Tepmahc and Willwerth's respective ATP rankings and recent tournament results would ordinarily inform probability calibration, yet the extreme probability reading suggests either one player holds a substantial competitive advantage or the market has attracted minimal trading activity. Historical ITF Monastir events have produced competitive matches across the men's draw, with upsets occurring at roughly 20-30% frequency depending on seeding gaps.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP communications for any withdrawal announcements, which remain common in lower-tier professional tennis. Surface conditions in Monastir during late May—typically hard courts with variable humidity—can favour particular playing styles. The six-day settlement window allows for match postponement due to weather or injury, though matches abandoned mid-play after commencement would resolve based on the incomplete result rules specified. Current pricing warrants scrutiny given the absence of typical probability distribution across both outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Benjamin Willwerth" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$867 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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