Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Safta and Arina Gabriela Vasilescu in the ITF Women Focsani, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Safta' if Anastasia Safta advances against Arina Gabriela Vasilescu. This market will resolve to 'Arina Gabriela Vasilescu' if Arina Gabriela Vasilescu advances against Anastasia Safta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Focsani: Anastasia Safta vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Anastasia Safta and Arina Gabriela Vasilescu are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's Focsani tournament on 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Safta's advancement at 21 per cent, implying Vasilescu is favoured at 79 per cent. This pricing reflects the market's assessment formed across available liquidity today, with settlement occurring by 16:30 UTC on 9 June.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF Women's circuit, where ranking points and match records carry direct relevance to seeding and draw positioning. Vasilescu, competing in her home region (Romania), typically benefits from familiarity with local court conditions and travel logistics. Historical ITF matchups between players of comparable ranking show home-court advantage often translates to a 60–75 per cent win probability for the favoured player, though this varies with surface type and recent form. Safta's current trajectory and head-to-head record against Vasilescu, if available, would refine this baseline expectation.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and any player withdrawal announcements through the WTA or ITF websites, as cancellations or delays beyond seven days trigger a 50–50 resolution. Recent fitness updates or late schedule changes affecting either player's preparation window could shift the order book materially. Court surface confirmation (clay, hard, or grass) and weather forecasts closer to the scheduled date may also influence positioning, particularly if either player has documented surface preferences or recent performance disparities.
The ITTF-Oceania Cup is an annual table tennis event held by the International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF). The event features men's and women's singles tournaments, with the winners qualifying for the table tennis World Cup.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Focsani: Anastasia Safta vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$34 in lifetime turnover and $734 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $34 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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