Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Radjenovic and Aristotelis Thanos in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Radjenovic' if Vuk Radjenovic advances against Aristotelis Thanos. This market will resolve to 'Aristotelis Thanos' if Aristotelis Thanos advances against Vuk Radjenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vuk Radjenovic vs Aristotelis Thanos | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Vuk Radjenovic and Aristotelis Thanos are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 29 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The 0% implied probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests either minimal trading activity or strong conviction that the match will not proceed as scheduled.
ITF Futures events at this tier frequently experience fixture disruptions due to player withdrawals, scheduling conflicts, or venue complications. Historical precedent from comparable ITF tournaments indicates that matches scheduled at unconventional times—this fixture is set for 5:00 AM ET—carry elevated cancellation risk. The settlement window extending to 5 June 2026 provides a seven-day buffer, but the early morning slot may indicate logistical constraints at the venue that could affect match completion.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draw confirmations and any official announcements from the Kursumlijska Banja venue in the weeks preceding the event. Player injury reports and entry list updates will signal whether both competitors remain committed to participation. The current zero probability on Polymarket's order book likely reflects thin liquidity rather than fundamental certainty; any confirmation of match proceeding would create pricing opportunity. Settlement hinges on match completion by 5 June, with tie or non-completion triggering a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vuk Radjenovic vs Aristotelis Thanos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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