Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ane Mintegi Del Olmo and Kayla Day in the ITF Women Tauste-Zaragoza, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Kayla Day. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Kayla Day | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo, a Spanish ITF player, faces American Kayla Day in the ITF Women's tournament at Tauste-Zaragoza on 27 May 2026. The match is scheduled for 4:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 3 June 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at the ask side or genuine conviction that Day will advance, though such extreme probabilities typically indicate sparse trading activity rather than informed consensus.
Mintegi Del Olmo competes regularly on the ITF circuit, where her performance varies considerably by surface and opponent ranking. Day, competing at similar ITF levels, brings comparable experience. Historical ITF matchups between players of this tier show outcomes heavily dependent on recent form, surface preference and head-to-head records. Without established prior meetings between these two, traders should examine their recent tournament results and win rates against similarly ranked opponents to calibrate realistic probabilities away from the current extreme.
Key catalysts include confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled—ITF events occasionally face cancellations or rescheduling due to weather or player withdrawals. Traders should monitor ITF official announcements and both players' recent match results in the week preceding the tournament. Any withdrawal or injury announcement would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Surface conditions at Tauste and recent performance trends on clay courts, where the tournament is typically held, will inform Day's likelihood of advancing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Kayla Day" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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