Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Luka Ono in the ITF Men Cuiaba, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Luka Ono. This market will resolve to 'Luka Ono' if Luka Ono advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Cuiaba: Kaue Noatto vs Luka Ono | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Kaue Noatto and Luka Ono are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Cuiaba tournament on 2 June 2026 at 5:15PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Noatto's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either substantial confidence in Noatto's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current odds, leaving room for meaningful shifts should fresh information emerge before the settlement window closes on 9 June.
ITF Futures matches at the lower professional tiers typically exhibit volatile outcomes, particularly when one player carries significant ranking or seeding advantages. Noatto, a Brazilian competitor playing on home soil in Cuiabá, may benefit from familiarity and crowd support—factors that historically correlate with improved performance in regional tournaments. Ono's profile and recent form remain critical variables; limited public match data for lower-ranked ITF players often results in markets pricing based on ranking differentials alone rather than current condition or surface suitability.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and any withdrawal announcements in the days preceding the match. Surface conditions in Cuiabá and recent results from either player's preceding matches could shift expectations materially. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing buffer for delays, though the current 100% pricing leaves minimal margin for the contingencies outlined in the resolution criteria—retirement, default, or cancellation would trigger a 50-50 split.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Cuiaba: Kaue Noatto vs Luka Ono" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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