Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mak Mikovic and Mark Becirovic Novak in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mak Mikovic' if Mak Mikovic advances against Mark Becirovic Novak. This market will resolve to 'Mark Becirovic Novak' if Mark Becirovic Novak advances against Mak Mikovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Mak Mikovic vs Mark Becirovic Novak | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mak Mikovic faces Mark Becirovic Novak in an ITF Men's event at Kranjska Gora, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The match is set for 4:00 AM ET, a notably early start time typical of lower-tier ITF tournaments where scheduling accommodates court availability and regional preferences. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Mikovic's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing for the Serbian player or minimal liquidity at present depth.
ITF Men's matches at this tier (Kranjska Gora typically hosts $15,000 events) involve players ranked outside the ATP top 500, making historical precedent difficult to establish without detailed head-to-head records. Mikovic and Becirovic Novak have limited professional profiles in major databases, which partly explains the extreme probability reading. When liquidity is thin on lower-profile matches, small positions can skew implied odds significantly. Traders should verify whether this reflects genuine edge or simply reflects sparse order book depth.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation closer to the event date—ITF withdrawals are common—and any late schedule adjustments. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion. Weather disruptions at Slovenian clay courts in late May, or injury withdrawals announced in the week prior, would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Monitor ITF official draws and player social media for withdrawal announcements, which typically emerge 48 to 72 hours before matches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Mak Mikovic vs Mark Becirovic Novak" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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