Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lopez and Yelyzaveta Chainykova in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lopez' if Eva Lopez advances against Yelyzaveta Chainykova. This market will resolve to 'Yelyzaveta Chainykova' if Yelyzaveta Chainykova advances against Eva Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Eva Lopez vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Eva Lopez faces Yelyzaveta Chainykova in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir, Tunisia on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Lopez's advancement at 45 per cent, suggesting modest confidence in Chainykova's chances despite Lopez being the implied favourite. The settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before the market resolves to 50-50 in the event of cancellation or extended delay.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records. Lopez has shown variable results on clay courts, whilst Chainykova's performance metrics on the Monastir hard court surface will be relevant to assessing the current probability. Historical ITF tournaments in Tunisia have proceeded largely on schedule, though weather disruptions in early June are not uncommon in the region. Traders should monitor any official ITF announcements regarding court availability or weather forecasts in the week preceding the match.
The key catalyst for probability movement will be confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status in the days before 3 June. Any withdrawal, injury announcement, or schedule change from the ITF would trigger immediate repricing. Recent tournament draws and seeding information from the official ITF website should clarify whether either player holds a ranking advantage. Polymarket's order book will reflect real-time adjustments as these details emerge.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Eva Lopez vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$93 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $93 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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