Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jenny Lim and Victoria Pohle in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenny Lim' if Jenny Lim advances against Victoria Pohle. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Jenny Lim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Jenny Lim vs Victoria Pohle | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jenny Lim faces Victoria Pohle in an ITF Women's event scheduled for 29 May 2026 in Oliva, with the match originally set for 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating the market is pricing this as a near-certainty event. This extreme skew typically emerges when one of two conditions holds: either the match has already been played and the outcome is known to market participants with information advantage, or the market has collapsed to a single side due to thin liquidity and minimal trading activity. Given the settlement window extends to 5 June 2026, the match should have concluded well before that date if it proceeds as scheduled.
ITF Women's tournaments at this level historically feature volatile matchups between developing professionals and rising juniors, with seeding and recent form carrying substantial predictive weight. Comparable ITF events show that matches rarely fail to complete once begun, though cancellations due to injury or weather do occur in roughly 3–5% of scheduled fixtures. The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny: traders should verify whether this reflects genuine information about the match outcome or simply reflects an illiquid market where minimal trading has occurred.
Key catalysts include official ITF confirmation of the draw and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 29 May. Injury reports or last-minute schedule changes would be published through the ITF's official channels and tournament websites. Weather conditions in Oliva during late May could affect scheduling, though outdoor clay courts typically accommodate play across a wide range of conditions.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Jenny Lim vs Victoria Pohle" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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