Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Kuhar and Oliver Ojakaar in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Kuhar' if Matt Kuhar advances against Oliver Ojakaar. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Ojakaar' if Oliver Ojakaar advances against Matt Kuhar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Matt Kuhar vs Oliver Ojakaar | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Matt Kuhar faces Oliver Ojakaar in an ITF Men's event at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling before the market resolves to a 50-50 split. Current order book pricing reflects a 4% implied probability for Kuhar's advancement, suggesting the market views Ojakaar as a substantial favourite.
ITF Futures tournaments at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with outcomes heavily dependent on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Kuhar's 4% probability implies either a significant ranking or recent performance disadvantage, or that Ojakaar has demonstrated superior results on hard courts specifically. Without recent ATP-level results for either player, the market is likely pricing based on ITF circuit history and qualifying records. Comparable ITF matches at Lakewood have shown that lower-seeded players occasionally upset favourites, though the 96-4 split here suggests the market has identified material form or ranking separation.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draws and any player withdrawals through early June, as late scratches are not uncommon at this level. Weather disruptions at Lakewood could trigger rescheduling; any delay beyond 7 June without completion triggers the 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF results for both players—particularly matches on hard courts in May and early June—will provide the most relevant data for assessing whether current pricing reflects genuine form differentials or market inefficiency.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Matt Kuhar vs Oliver Ojakaar" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$175 in lifetime turnover and $66K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $175 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: