Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Klok and Aristotelis Thanos in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 8:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Klok' if Denis Klok advances against Aristotelis Thanos. This market will resolve to 'Aristotelis Thanos' if Aristotelis Thanos advances against Denis Klok. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Denis Klok vs Aristotelis Thanos | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Denis Klok faces Aristotelis Thanos in an ITF Men's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja, Serbia, scheduled for 30 May 2026. The match is set for 08:35 ET, with settlement occurring by 6 June 2026. Polymarket's order book currently reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery. At this probability extreme, the market is pricing in near-certain execution without meaningful uncertainty around cancellation, postponement beyond the seven-day window, or other non-completion scenarios.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level rarely face cancellation once scheduled, particularly at established venues like Kursumlijska Banja, which has hosted tournaments consistently. Historical precedent shows such lower-tier professional fixtures proceed as scheduled unless weather becomes severe or player injury occurs immediately before play. The 100% reading likely reflects the baseline expectation that a scheduled ITF event will run to completion rather than genuine confidence in either player's advancement.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for any withdrawal announcements from either player in the week preceding 30 May. Weather forecasts for Serbia during that period warrant attention, as spring conditions can occasionally disrupt scheduling. Player injury reports or late withdrawals from other tournaments could signal availability issues. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides meaningful protection against minor delays, though any match postponement beyond 6 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Denis Klok vs Aristotelis Thanos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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