Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Marcus Walters in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Marcus Walters. This market will resolve to 'Marcus Walters' if Marcus Walters advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Saveliy Ivanov vs Marcus Walters | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Saveliy Ivanov faces Marcus Walters in the ITF Men's tournament at Monastir, Tunisia, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for 5:30 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 10 June 2026. Current order book activity on Polymarket prices Ivanov's advancement at 34 per cent, reflecting market participants' assessment of the matchup dynamics and recent form data available ahead of the tournament.
ITF Monastir tournaments typically attract developing professionals and players rebuilding ranking points. Ivanov, a Russian player, has competed across ITF circuits with variable results depending on surface conditions and opponent calibre. Walters, an American competitor, similarly operates within the ITF ecosystem. Historical ITF matchups at this venue show outcomes heavily influenced by clay-court specialisation and recent match fitness. The current 34 per cent probability suggests the market views Walters as the favoured outcome, though the relatively modest spread indicates genuine uncertainty about player form and preparation status.
Key variables for traders include confirmation of both players' participation as the tournament approaches, any last-minute withdrawals or scheduling changes, and surface conditions at the Monastir clay courts. Weather patterns in early June can affect play scheduling; the seven-day delay clause in settlement terms creates a potential resolution pathway if weather disruption occurs. Tournament draws and seeding information, typically released one week before competition, will provide additional context on perceived relative strength. Monitoring ITF official announcements and player social media for injury updates remains essential given the compressed timeframe to settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Saveliy Ivanov vs Marcus Walters" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $30 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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