Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Han Shi and Jia-Jing Lu in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Jia-Jing Lu. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Han Shi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Han Shi vs Jia-Jing Lu | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Han Shi and Jia-Jing Lu are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Wuning on 26 May 2026. The match carries a settlement window extending to 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for completion. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing near-certainty that one player will advance decisively. This extreme probability typically emerges when the underlying event is imminent or when historical completion rates for comparable ITF fixtures are exceptionally high.
ITF Women's tournaments at this tier generally feature high match completion rates, with retirements and defaults occurring in roughly 2–4% of scheduled contests. Han Shi and Jia-Jing Lu are both active ITF circuit competitors with established records; neither player has a documented pattern of frequent withdrawals. The seven-day settlement window substantially reduces the risk of unresolved outcomes, as weather delays or scheduling conflicts at ITF level are typically resolved within this timeframe. Traders pricing at 100% are effectively betting that standard tournament operations will proceed without extraordinary disruption.
The primary catalyst affecting this market is the match's actual execution on or shortly after 26 May. Any announcement of player injury, withdrawal, or venue complications before play begins would immediately shift the probability away from the current extremes. Tournament officials typically confirm fixture status 24–48 hours before scheduled play. Traders should monitor ITF official channels and the Wuning tournament draw for any updates regarding player availability or scheduling changes in the days preceding the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Han Shi vs Jia-Jing Lu" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$349 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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