Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alba Rey Garcia and Carolina Kuhl in the ITF Women Montemor-O-Novo, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alba Rey Garcia' if Alba Rey Garcia advances against Carolina Kuhl. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Alba Rey Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Alba Rey Garcia vs Carolina Kuhl | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alba Rey Garcia and Carolina Kuhl are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Montemor-O-Novo tournament on 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 47% implied probability for Rey Garcia's advancement, suggesting near-parity in market expectations. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity rather than consensus forecasting, making it sensitive to new information about player form, injury status, or draw positioning as the event approaches.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when both players occupy similar ranking bands. Rey Garcia and Kuhl's head-to-head record, recent tournament results, and surface-specific performance metrics will inform how traders adjust positions. The Portuguese clay court surface at Montemor-O-Novo favours players with strong baseline consistency and movement patterns; traders should monitor both players' recent clay-court results and any statements regarding injury or preparation in the weeks preceding the match.
The settlement window closes on 9 June 2026 at 09:30 UTC, allowing seven days for the match to conclude. Traders should track ITF tournament scheduling announcements, which occasionally shift match timings or dates due to weather or draw adjustments. Any withdrawal, cancellation, or delay beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held close to the settlement deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Alba Rey Garcia vs Carolina Kuhl" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $65K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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