Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Nicholas Gadecki and Maxwell Mckennon in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Nicholas Gadecki' if Thomas Nicholas Gadecki advances against Maxwell Mckennon. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Mckennon' if Maxwell Mckennon advances against Thomas Nicholas Gadecki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki vs Maxwell Mckennon | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki faces Maxwell Mckennon in an ITF Men's tournament match in Kayseri, scheduled for 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Gadecki's advancement at 22 per cent, reflecting a substantial underdog position. This probability reflects market participants' assessment of the matchup across available liquidity, with the spread between bid and ask orders forming the implied odds traders observe today.
Gadecki, an Australian player, has competed primarily on the ITF circuit with modest ranking progression. Mckennon, an American competitor, similarly operates within the ITF Men's sphere. Historical ITF matches between players of comparable ranking typically show favourites priced between 55–75 per cent, depending on head-to-head records and recent form. The 22 per cent pricing suggests the market views Mckennon as a clear favourite, though without recent ATP-level data on either player, the probability reflects limited public information and relatively thin liquidity on this specific fixture.
Traders should monitor tournament scheduling confirmations as the June 4 date approaches, given ITF events occasionally face postponement or cancellation. Recent ITF tournament reports indicate fixture stability through early June 2026, though weather conditions in Kayseri during early summer can occasionally disrupt scheduling. Any withdrawal announcements from either player would trigger immediate repricing. The settlement window extends to 11 June, allowing seven days for match completion before the 50–50 tie-break resolution clause activates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki vs Maxwell Mckennon" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $906 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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