Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Fidler and Alan Wazny in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Fidler' if Tomas Fidler advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Tomas Fidler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Tomas Fidler vs Alan Wazny | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Tomas Fidler and Alan Wazny are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Bol, Croatia on 27 May 2026. The match is set for 5:30 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Fidler, indicating traders are pricing in either strong conviction for Wazny or substantial uncertainty about match execution. At ITF level, where draws frequently experience withdrawals and scheduling disruptions, such extreme probabilities often reflect incomplete information rather than settled market consensus.
Comparable ITF matches show that early-stage pricing on lower-tier professional tennis frequently shifts materially once player confirmations and draw sheets become public. Fidler and Wazny compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where historical data on head-to-head records and recent form is sparse compared to ATP-level markets. The absence of recent tournament results or withdrawal patterns for either player in accessible databases means the current 0% pricing may simply reflect low liquidity and limited trader participation rather than definitive assessment of match probabilities.
Traders should monitor ITF Bol's official draw publication and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 27 May. Scheduling changes, injury disclosures, or late entries could shift the order book substantially. The seven-day grace period before forced 50-50 resolution creates a specific deadline for match completion; any delay beyond 3 June without a determined winner triggers split settlement regardless of eventual outcome.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Tomas Fidler vs Alan Wazny" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$67 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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