Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kevin Edengren and Karol Malirz in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Edengren' if Kevin Edengren advances against Karol Malirz. This market will resolve to 'Karol Malirz' if Karol Malirz advances against Kevin Edengren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Kevin Edengren vs Karol Malirz | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kevin Edengren and Karol Malirz are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 25 May 2026 at 09:00 ET. The match will determine progression in a lower-tier professional tennis circuit event. Polymarket's order book is currently pricing this match at 100% implied probability for Edengren, reflecting either strong backing for the Swedish player or minimal liquidity at present. The settlement window closes on 1 June 2026 at 13:00 UTC, allowing a one-week buffer beyond the scheduled date for completion.
ITF Futures events at this level typically see completion rates above 95%, with walkovers and retirements accounting for most unplayed matches. Comparable ITF Men's tournaments show that matches involving players ranked outside the ATP top 500 rarely attract significant trading volume, resulting in thin order books and extreme probability readings that shift sharply once initial positions are challenged. The 100% reading here likely reflects a small initial order rather than genuine consensus.
Traders should monitor the official ITF entry list and draw sheet as the event approaches, typically released one week prior. Injury announcements or late withdrawals from either player would be the primary catalyst for repricing. Weather conditions in Kutaisis during late May could affect scheduling but rarely cancel matches outright. The resolution mechanism's 50-50 tie-break for matches delayed beyond seven days without completion creates a secondary consideration if weather or logistical issues emerge during tournament week.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Kevin Edengren vs Karol Malirz" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$392 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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