Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Deniz Dilek and Ustiniya Lekomtseva in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Ustiniya Lekomtseva. This market will resolve to 'Ustiniya Lekomtseva' if Ustiniya Lekomtseva advances against Deniz Dilek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Deniz Dilek vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Deniz Dilek faces Ustiniya Lekomtseva in the ITF Women's tournament at Kayseri, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Dilek's advancement at 79%, reflecting substantial backing for the Turkish player. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the YES side commands a significant premium over the NO side. The settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the original match date for completion.
Dilek competes regularly on the ITF circuit and holds a home advantage in Kayseri, factors typically reflected in prediction markets through elevated backing. Lekomtseva, a Russian player, brings international ITF experience but faces the disadvantage of travel and unfamiliar conditions. Historical ITF matchups involving home-nation players show modest but consistent probability premiums, typically ranging from 55–75% depending on ranking differential and recent form. The 79% reading sits at the upper end of this range, suggesting traders are weighting Dilek's advantage substantially.
Key catalysts include any late withdrawals or injury announcements prior to the scheduled date, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Tournament scheduling changes or weather disruptions affecting the Kayseri venue could delay proceedings beyond the seven-day window. Recent ITF tournament results for both players, if published before settlement, would provide concrete data to test the current market pricing. Traders should monitor ITF rankings updates and any official tournament communications from the Kayseri organisers through early June.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Deniz Dilek vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$507 in lifetime turnover and $496 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $507 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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