Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Dedura-Palomero and Cruz Hewitt in the ITF Men Rosbach, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Dedura-Palomero' if Mariano Dedura-Palomero advances against Cruz Hewitt. This market will resolve to 'Cruz Hewitt' if Cruz Hewitt advances against Mariano Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Rosbach: Mariano Dedura-Palomero vs Cruz Hewitt | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mariano Dedura-Palomero and Cruz Hewitt are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Rosbach tournament on 3 June 2026 at 08:00 ET. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Dedura-Palomero's advancement, suggesting traders have priced in either a strong conviction on his form or minimal uncertainty around match completion. The settlement window closes 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for delays before the market defaults to 50-50 resolution.
ITF Futures events at this level typically feature younger professionals or players rebuilding rankings, where form volatility and injury withdrawals occur more frequently than ATP-level matches. Historical ITF Rosbach tournaments have seen modest attendance and occasional scheduling disruptions. The 100% probability reading is unusual for a lower-tier event and warrants scrutiny—such extremes often reflect thin liquidity on the orderbook rather than genuine certainty about match outcomes.
Traders should monitor ITF official draws and entry lists through early June for withdrawal announcements, which remain common at ITF level. Weather conditions in Rosbach during early June could affect scheduling, whilst player injury updates or late withdrawals would be the primary catalysts reshaping current odds. The match's relatively low profile means limited media coverage; confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status closer to the scheduled date will be critical for assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine edge or orderbook thinness.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Rosbach: Mariano Dedura-Palomero vs Cruz Hewitt" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $60K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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