Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Catry and Daniel Lara Salmeron in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Catry' if Robin Catry advances against Daniel Lara Salmeron. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Lara Salmeron' if Daniel Lara Salmeron advances against Robin Catry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Daniel Lara Salmeron | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Robin Catry and Daniel Lara Salmeron are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's tournament match in Kutaisi, Georgia on 28 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Catry's advancement, suggesting traders have priced in either a strong expectation of his victory or material uncertainty regarding match completion. This extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny given the ITF circuit's known scheduling volatility and the seven-day resolution window that permits delayed matches to settle at 50-50.
ITF Futures tournaments at this tier typically feature significant ranking disparities and withdrawal rates. Historical precedent shows that matches involving lower-ranked players on the ITF Men's circuit experience cancellation or non-completion at rates between 8-15%, particularly when scheduled at unconventional hours (this match is set for 2:00 AM ET). The 100% probability currently priced suggests the market may be overweighting Catry's baseline strength relative to completion risk, or reflects limited liquidity depth in the order book.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for any schedule changes, player withdrawals, or weather-related disruptions in the week preceding 28 May. Kutaisi's spring weather patterns and the tournament's infrastructure capacity are secondary factors worth tracking. The settlement window's 7-day buffer creates a material tail risk: if the match is postponed beyond 4 June without completion, the market resolves to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome, which would represent a significant repricing from current levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Daniel Lara Salmeron" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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