Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Bor Artnak and David Eichenseher in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bor Artnak' if Bor Artnak advances against David Eichenseher. This market will resolve to 'David Eichenseher' if David Eichenseher advances against Bor Artnak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Bor Artnak vs David Eichenseher | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bor Artnak and David Eichenseher are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Kranjska Gora on 28 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Artnak's advancement, suggesting the market has priced in either a substantial skill differential or specific information about player availability and form. This extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny, as ITF matches—particularly at lower-tier events—frequently feature incomplete information regarding player fitness, recent results, and competitive momentum.
Historical ITF outcomes demonstrate considerable volatility at the lower professional tiers, where ranking points carry modest stakes and player commitment varies considerably. Matches between unseeded or lower-ranked competitors often produce results that diverge sharply from pre-match assessments, particularly when one player has limited recent tournament activity or is utilising the event for match practice. The 100% probability here suggests either Eichenseher's withdrawal is anticipated or Artnak possesses a documented advantage—such as recent tournament wins or a significant ranking gap—that the market has fully absorbed.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP communications through early June for any withdrawal announcements, which would trigger the settlement conditions. The settlement window closes 4 June 2026, providing a narrow window for match completion. Recent scheduling changes or player injury reports from the week preceding the event would represent material catalysts. The current extreme probability leaves minimal margin for adverse information, making this a market where new developments carry outsized impact.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Bor Artnak vs David Eichenseher" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$53 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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