Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kadhe/Zormann and Arias/Ingildsen in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kadhe/Zormann' if the team of Kadhe/Zormann advances against Arias/Ingildsen. This market will resolve to 'Arias/Ingildsen' if the team of Arias/Ingildsen advances against Kadhe/Zormann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia (Doubles): Kadhe/Zormann vs Arias/Ingildsen | 30% YES | 71% NO |
Kadhe and Zormann face Arias and Ingildsen in a doubles match at the Perugia ATP 250 event, scheduled for early June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50–50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders about which pairing will advance through this first or second-round encounter. With settlement occurring by 8 June 2026, the market has absorbed available information on player form, recent pairings, and surface preference on clay.
Doubles outcomes at ATP 250 events typically hinge on serve-and-volley consistency and net play rather than baseline dominance. Historical precedent suggests that established partnerships with prior tournament success together carry measurable edge; conversely, newer or ad-hoc pairings often underperform relative to seeding. The current 50–50 probability suggests the market views both teams as relatively evenly matched in experience or recent results, or that insufficient historical data exists to separate them decisively.
Traders should monitor official ATP announcements regarding player injuries or withdrawal in the days before 2 June, as either pairing losing a player would trigger cancellation protocols. Perugia's draw sheet and seeding assignments, once published, will clarify whether one team carries higher ranking or has faced the opponent recently. Surface conditions at the Umbrian clay courts and any late-season form updates from both players will likely shift the order book in the final 48 hours before play.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia (Doubles): Kadhe/Zormann vs Arias/Ingildsen" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $9 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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