Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Cezar Cretu in the Chisinau, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Cezar Cretu. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Liam Broady. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chisinau: Liam Broady vs Cezar Cretu | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Liam Broady and Cezar Cretu are scheduled to meet in the opening round of the Chisinau ATP Challenger on 29 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Broady's advancement, suggesting the market has priced in either a significant disparity in player strength or confidence in match completion. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny, as ATP Challenger draws frequently feature competitive matchups where upsets occur at material frequency.
Broady, a British player ranked outside the top 200 in recent seasons, has competed sporadically on the Challenger circuit with mixed results. Cretu, a Romanian player, similarly operates at lower professional tiers. Historical precedent from comparable Challenger-level encounters shows that when both players occupy similar ranking bands, the favourite typically carries 55–70% implied probability rather than approaching certainty. The 100% reading suggests either incomplete information priced into the order book or a structural imbalance in how traders are valuing this fixture.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation as the tournament approaches, any late withdrawals or injury announcements, and weather conditions in Chisinau that could delay proceedings beyond the seven-day resolution window. The settlement deadline of 5 June 2026 provides a narrow buffer; matches delayed beyond 7 June without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor ATP Challenger entry lists and player injury reports through May, as Challenger draws remain fluid until tournament commencement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chisinau: Liam Broady vs Cezar Cretu" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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