Trade: Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Blaise Bicknell and Karl Poling in the Tyler, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blaise Bicknell' if Blaise Bicknell advances against Karl Poling. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Blaise Bicknell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $380
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
A professional tennis match between Blaise Bicknell and Karl Poling is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 4 June 2026 in Tyler. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating traders view this matchup as evenly contested. Settlement occurs by 15:00 UTC on 11 June 2026, providing a one-week window for the match to conclude with a definitive winner.
Both players operate within the lower-tier professional circuit where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight. Historical precedent suggests that at this level, surface preference, recent tournament results, and injury status typically drive probability shifts. Comparable matches on Polymarket between similarly-ranked players have shown that the 50-50 mark often reflects genuine uncertainty rather than balanced skill levels—traders frequently adjust positions sharply once qualifying rounds conclude or injury reports surface. The current equilibrium suggests limited public information distinguishing the two competitors in the market's view.
Traders should monitor ATP or ITF tournament schedules for any schedule changes, withdrawals, or surface announcements that might alter preparation timelines. Injury disclosures or late-round results from warm-up events in the week prior to 4 June could trigger significant order book movement. The seven-day delay clause means matches extending beyond 11 June without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating additional risk for positions held through the settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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Tyler BlackettTyler Nathan Blackett is an English professional footballer who plays as a left-back or centre-back for USL Championship side New Mexico United. He joined Manchester United's youth academy in 2002 and worked his way through to the first-team, as well as spending time on loan to Blackpool, Birmingham City and Celtic. He then played for Reading and Nottingham
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Tyler LarsenTyler Larsen is an American professional football center. He played college football at Utah State. Larsen signed with the Miami Dolphins as an undrafted free agent in 2014 and has also been a member of the Carolina Panthers and Washington Commanders.
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Tyler BlanskiTyler Blanski is an American Roman Catholic author, musician, and record producer based in Minneapolis, Minnesota. He was raised as a Baptist and later became an Anglican, before converting to Catholicism.
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Tyler Glaiel
Tyler Glaiel, also known by the moniker Glaiel Games, is an American video game designer and programmer known for games such as Aether (2008), Closure (2012), Number (2013), Bombernauts (2017), The End Is Nigh (2017) and Mewgenics (2026).
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $380 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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