Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 11 at 7:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever | 51% YES | 50% NO |
The Chicago Sky and Indiana Fever meet on 11 June at 7:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for a Chicago victory, suggesting near-parity between the two sides as traders price in available information about roster status, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics.
The Sky and Fever have developed a competitive rivalry in recent seasons, with outcomes often hinging on perimeter shooting efficiency and bench depth. Chicago's historical advantage in playoff-calibre moments has occasionally shifted market sentiment, though Indiana's 2023 breakthrough season—which saw them reach the WNBA Finals—established them as a credible threat. Current season records, win-loss trajectories, and injury reports will substantially influence how the order book reprices between now and tipoff. The 51% split suggests traders view this as genuinely competitive rather than one-sided.
Key variables to monitor include official injury reports released in the 48 hours before the game, particularly regarding either team's perimeter defenders or primary scorers. Recent WNBA scheduling has occasionally produced back-to-back games that affect player availability and fatigue levels. Any roster changes, trades, or unexpected absences announced before 11 June could shift the probability meaningfully. Home-court advantage—the venue for this fixture—may also influence trader positioning, as WNBA home teams have shown measurable performance differentials this season. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 11 June, allowing traders to adjust positions through the final minutes before the game concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $20 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 51%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: