Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee "Faker" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve to “No” when it becomes impossible for Faker to win such an award (e.g., if his team is eliminated from all remaining international events without him receiving an MVP, or the season concludes without qualification). This market will resolve to “No” if no Finals MVP Award has been officially announced for Faker by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Lee "Faker" Sang-hyeok, T1's mid-laner and three-time World Champion, faces a narrow path to Finals MVP recognition at an international League of Legends event in 2026. The 2026 calendar includes First Stand (January), Mid-Season Invitational (May), Esports World Cup (summer), and Worlds (autumn), alongside potential additional tournaments. Faker's claim to such an award depends on T1 reaching and winning a finals match whilst he delivers standout individual performances—a dual requirement that compounds difficulty.
Faker's historical record provides context for the current 8% implied probability on Polymarket's order book. He last won Worlds Finals MVP in 2016; since then, despite consistent excellence and multiple Worlds appearances, he has not secured an international Finals MVP award across the past nine seasons. T1's recent form shows strength domestically, but international competition has grown increasingly competitive, with teams from LPL, LEC, and other regions regularly contesting finals. The rarity of individual accolades at the highest level—particularly when shared amongst five players—naturally depresses such probabilities.
Traders should monitor T1's qualification status and draw for each 2026 international event, alongside roster changes during the off-season. Faker's performance metrics during group stages and knockouts will signal realistic chances; early exits would render the market impossible to resolve positively. Announcements regarding tournament formats, MVP voting criteria, or T1's competitive standing should inform position adjustments through the year.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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