Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between T1 and FULL SENSE in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against FULL SENSE. This market will resolve to "FULL SENSE" if FULL SENSE win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
T1 and FULL SENSE meet in the VCT Pacific upper bracket semifinal on 8 May 2026, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 6:00 AM ET, formatted as a best-of-three series. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects an 81% implied probability for T1 victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this matchup.
T1 have established themselves as the dominant force in Pacific Valorant over recent seasons, consistently reaching playoff finals and maintaining a roster of mechanically elite players. FULL SENSE, whilst competitive, have historically struggled against top-tier opposition in high-stakes tournaments. Previous upper bracket meetings between regional powerhouses and mid-tier challengers have typically resolved in favour of the established favourite, though map selection and form fluctuations can create variance. The 81% probability sits within the typical range for matches between a tier-one team and a tier-two challenger in single-elimination formats.
Traders should monitor roster health and recent scrim results in the days preceding 8 May, as last-minute substitutions or injury disclosures occasionally shift market expectations. VCT Pacific's official schedule and any tournament postponement announcements will be critical; the settlement window extends to 17:10 UTC on 8 May, allowing for reasonable match delays. Patch updates to Valorant itself, if deployed close to the playoff window, could theoretically impact team preparation, though this remains a lower-probability catalyst. The match's position as an upper bracket semifinal means both teams have already qualified for playoffs, reducing forfeit risk substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$184K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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