Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 27 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Carabobo FC (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Carabobo FC (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Red Bull Bragantino will face Carabobo FC in the Copa Sudamericana on 27 May at 8:30 PM ET, with settlement determined by the outcome of additional betting markets tied to the match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 42% implied probability for the "yes" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty around whichever secondary market condition this contract tracks—whether that concerns total goals, a specific team's performance, or another match-related metric.
Bragantino, a São Paulo-based club competing in Brazil's Serie A, typically enters Copa Sudamericana fixtures as a favourite in continental competition, though recent form and squad depth matter considerably. Carabobo, a Venezuelan club, operates in a less competitive domestic league and faces travel demands and resource constraints common to smaller South American sides. Historical patterns in Copa Sudamericana matchups between Brazilian Serie A sides and Venezuelan opponents show the Brazilian team advances in roughly 65–75% of cases, though individual match variance remains high. The 42% probability on the order book suggests traders are either hedging against Bragantino underperformance or pricing in genuine competitive uncertainty.
Key catalysts include team news releases regarding injuries or lineup changes before kick-off, weather conditions in the match venue, and any late-breaking fixture rescheduling. Traders should monitor official Copa Sudamericana communications and club social media channels through 27 May for squad confirmations. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 28 May, allowing roughly four hours post-match for official result confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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