Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Tromsø IL and Aalesunds FK, scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK match originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Tromsø IL and Aalesunds FK will meet in the Norwegian Eliteserien on 25 May 2026. The market prices the probability of an exact score outcome at 49% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting genuine uncertainty about which specific scoreline will materialise. Settlement hinges on the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. Any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score."
Exact-score markets in top-tier football typically see implied probabilities in the 45–55% range when the field of possible outcomes is fragmented across many scorelines. Historical patterns suggest that draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1) account for roughly 60% of Eliteserien matches, whilst higher-scoring games remain less frequent. The current 49% probability suggests the market is pricing moderate confidence that one of the listed outcomes will occur, with meaningful liquidity distributed across several plausible results rather than concentrated on a single scoreline.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture, including injury updates and squad rotation decisions, which often shift in the final week before matches. Tromsø and Aalesund's recent form, head-to-head records, and any weather conditions affecting Tromsø's northern pitch may influence scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day; any postponement extends the market's life until completion, whilst cancellation would trigger alternative resolution procedures outlined in market terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $222 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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