Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is named to the 2025-26 All-NBA Third Team. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no official All-NBA Third Team is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Stephen Curry | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyrese Maxey | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Kawhi Leonard | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jaylen Brown | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Luka Doncic | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Nikola Jokic | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cooper Flagg | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The NBA's All-NBA Third Team selection occurs annually following the regular season, with voting conducted by a panel of media members and fan participation. The 2025-26 season concludes in April 2026, with All-NBA selections typically announced in early June. Third Team positions represent the third-highest honour tier after First and Second Teams, recognising elite performers across the league's positional categories. The specific player in question will need to demonstrate sustained excellence throughout the season to secure consideration amongst the league's top performers at their position.
Historical All-NBA Third Team selections show considerable variance depending on positional depth and competitive landscape. Guards and forwards typically face stiffer competition for these spots than centres, given roster construction trends. Recent seasons have seen players averaging 20+ points per game with strong efficiency metrics and playoff credentials as baseline expectations, though All-Star selection and team success remain influential factors in voting outcomes. The 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about whether this player will maintain performance levels sufficient for selection.
Traders should monitor the player's statistical trajectory through the 2025-26 season, particularly points per game, shooting efficiency, and All-Star voting results announced in February 2026. Playoff performance and narrative momentum heading into June voting periods historically influence media voters. Injuries or significant role changes could materially shift selection probability. The NBA's official announcement in early June 2026 will serve as the definitive resolution source, with the market settling by 30 June 2026.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA Third Team" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $58 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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