Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 13, 2026 between FC Dallas and Vancouver Whitecaps FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Dallas | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Draw (FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 48% YES | 53% NO |
FC Dallas will travel to face Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS regular-season fixture on Wednesday, 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Dallas victory at 26% implied probability, reflecting the market's assessment that Vancouver enters as the favoured side in this matchup.
Historical MLS results between these clubs provide context for interpreting the current odds. Vancouver has shown competitive strength at home in recent seasons, whilst Dallas has struggled with consistency on the road. Over the past three years, the Whitecaps' home record against lower-ranked conference opponents has typically commanded odds in the 55–65% range, placing the current 74% implied probability for a non-Dallas outcome within a reasonable band. Fixture location—Vancouver's BC Place Stadium—carries measurable weight; the Whitecaps' home advantage has historically translated to approximately 15–20 percentage points in win probability relative to neutral ground.
Traders should monitor squad availability in the fortnight preceding the match, particularly injury reports from both clubs' midfield and defensive lines. MLS fixture congestion in May often produces unexpected absences. Additionally, weather conditions at BC Place—notably wind patterns affecting play quality—occasionally shift late-market sentiment. Recent form statements from either club's coaching staff, typically released 48 hours before kickoff, have occasionally moved Polymarket's order book by 3–5 percentage points. Settlement occurs shortly after full-time whistle on 14 May at 00:30 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $644K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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