Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Dallas | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Real Salt Lake | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Dallas will host Real Salt Lake in a Major League Soccer regular-season fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The match forms part of the MLS regular season schedule and settlement occurs shortly after the final whistle, with the window closing early on 10 May at 00:30 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this as a certainty that the event will occur as scheduled.
Historical MLS fixture data shows that regular-season matches between established clubs are rarely cancelled outright. Weather disruptions, whilst occasional in North American football, typically result in postponement rather than outright cancellation, which would trigger a different settlement outcome. The 100% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests the market is pricing in extremely low risk of the match failing to take place within the settlement window—a reasonable assessment given standard MLS operational resilience and the absence of any reported fixture complications as of early May.
Traders should monitor official MLS and club communications for any last-minute scheduling changes, severe weather warnings affecting the Dallas–Salt Lake corridor, or unforeseen operational disruptions in the days immediately preceding the fixture. Polymarket's order book depth and any movement away from the current consensus probability would signal emerging information about fixture viability. The tight settlement window (ending just after midnight UTC on 10 May) means any postponement announced after the match's scheduled start time would be the primary catalyst affecting settlement interpretation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$107K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $106K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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