Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Atlanta United FC and Los Angeles Galaxy.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Atlanta United FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Atlanta United and Los Angeles Galaxy will meet in an MLS regular-season fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability, indicating no active bids supporting either side at any price level. This zero-probability state typically emerges when a market has minimal liquidity or when traders are awaiting additional information before committing capital. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on match day, allowing roughly 24 hours post-kick-off for final resolution.
Historical MLS matchups between these franchises show competitive balance, though Atlanta has held marginal advantages in recent seasons. Galaxy have struggled with consistency since their 2023 campaign, whilst Atlanta's domestic form and cup performances provide a baseline for assessing relative strength. The 0% reading should be interpreted as a liquidity gap rather than a definitive forecast; comparable MLS markets typically see probability distributions emerge once traders begin positioning ahead of fixture week.
Key catalysts include team news on injuries and squad rotation, which MLS clubs typically announce mid-week. Atlanta's fixture congestion in late April will influence squad freshness, as will Galaxy's travel schedule from Los Angeles. Weather conditions in Atlanta on match day—particularly wind and temperature—can affect play style. Traders should monitor official MLS communications and club social media for lineup confirmations and any last-minute changes, particularly given the settlement window's tight closure relative to final whistle.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$130K in lifetime turnover and $235K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $128K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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