Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 7 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| NRFI | 51% YES | 49% NO |
The New York Mets face the San Diego Padres on 7 June at 4:10 PM ET in an MLB regular-season matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view both teams as evenly matched for this fixture. Settlement occurs against official MLB final statistics, with provisions for postponement extending the resolution window until completion. Should the game be cancelled without a make-up or end in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 automatically.
The Mets and Padres have comparable recent performance trajectories that inform the even odds. Both franchises occupy mid-table positions in their respective divisions and carry similar win-loss records through early June. Historical head-to-head records between these clubs show marginal variance, with neither team holding decisive advantage in inter-league play. The 50-50 probability reflects this symmetry rather than strong directional conviction from the trading crowd.
Key variables affecting the outcome include starting pitcher assignments and injury status updates released in the days preceding the match. Roster announcements and bullpen availability often shift implied probabilities materially in baseball markets. Weather conditions at the venue and recent offensive form—particularly run-scoring trends over the preceding week—typically influence trader positioning. Monitor official MLB communications and team injury reports through 6 June for material developments that could shift the current equilibrium reflected in the order book.
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The New York Mets Radio Network, referred to on air as Audacy Mets Radio, is a radio network owned by Audacy, Inc. that broadcasts New York Mets baseball games. It consists of one AM station. A Spanish-language broadcast airs separately from the English-language network.
Below is an alphabetical list of every player that has played for the New York Mets of Major League Baseball since the franchise's inception in 1962. Included are the seasons in which they played for the Mets and their primary position(s).
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $20K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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