Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for May 8 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| NRFI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Los Angeles Angels travel to Toronto for a regular-season matchup on 8 May at 7:07 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 41% implied probability for an Angels victory, with the Blue Jays favoured at 59%. This pricing emerges from the cumulative depth of buy and sell orders across the market, representing the aggregate assessment of bettors weighted by their capital commitment.
Historical matchups between these franchises provide limited predictive power for individual games, though seasonal trends matter considerably. The Angels have struggled with consistency in recent seasons, whilst Toronto has maintained stronger divisional positioning within the AL East. Single-game outcomes depend heavily on starting pitcher quality, bullpen availability, and recent offensive form. The Angels' road performance typically trails their home record by 3–5 percentage points in win probability, a structural disadvantage reflected in the current odds.
Key variables to monitor include official pitching assignments, which typically become confirmed 24–48 hours before first pitch. Injury reports on either roster—particularly affecting position players or relief arms—can shift the probability substantially. Weather conditions at Rogers Centre may influence game dynamics, though indoor play eliminates wind as a factor. Recent form matters: teams on winning streaks often carry momentum into matchups, whilst those in slumps face psychological headwinds. The settlement window closes on 15 May at 23:07 UTC, allowing for postponement resolution should weather or other factors delay the fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.1M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $988K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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