Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for May 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AS FAR (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| OC Safi (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| AS FAR (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| OC Safi (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
AS FAR and OC Safi are scheduled to meet in Morocco's top-tier Botola Pro league on 7 May 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market in question concerns additional betting markets becoming available for this fixture, with the current order book on Polymarket showing zero demand at any price—hence the 0% implied probability. This reflects either genuine disinterest in secondary markets for this particular match or early-stage liquidity conditions typical of niche sports betting on the platform.
Moroccan domestic football markets on prediction exchanges remain relatively illiquid compared to European leagues, making it difficult to establish baseline expectations for market proliferation. When secondary markets do materialise for Botola Pro fixtures, they typically emerge within 48 to 72 hours before kickoff, contingent on sufficient order book activity. The current zero probability suggests traders are not yet pricing in the likelihood of additional markets being created, though this often shifts as the match date approaches and casual interest builds.
Key variables affecting resolution include whether Polymarket's market creation mechanisms trigger automatically based on trading volume thresholds, or whether manual curation determines secondary market availability. Traders should monitor Polymarket's order book activity for the primary AS FAR versus OC Safi match itself, as elevated interest there would increase the probability of supplementary markets launching. Fixture confirmation and team news closer to 7 May will also influence whether sufficient market demand justifies additional offerings.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AS FAR vs. OC Safi - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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