Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the La Liga game between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
RCD Espanyol will host Real Madrid at the RCDE Stadium on 3 May 2026 in what is likely a final-day La Liga fixture. The market concerns total corners across the ninety minutes, with settlement dependent on the official match statistics. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing in a near-certain outcome that the corner threshold will be met.
La Liga matches between top-tier sides and mid-table opponents typically generate 8–12 corners combined, with Real Madrid's aggressive pressing and Espanyol's defensive shape creating natural opportunities for set plays. Historical precedent from recent Espanyol–Madrid encounters shows corner counts ranging from 9 to 14, depending on match tempo and tactical setup. The 100% probability suggests the threshold is set at a level well below typical outcomes for this fixture pairing, making the YES outcome heavily favoured by the market's collective assessment.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates through early May, as absences of key players could alter pressing intensity and defensive organisation. Real Madrid's fixture congestion in late April—particularly if competing in European competitions—may influence squad rotation decisions announced closer to kick-off. Espanyol's league position and remaining survival hopes will shape their tactical approach. Weather conditions at the RCDE Stadium and any late-season scheduling changes should be tracked via official La Liga communications before the settlement window closes on 3 May at 19:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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