Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Real Betis Balompié, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 4-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 5-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 5-1 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Barcelona face Betis at Camp Nou on 17 May 2026 in what is likely a final-day La Liga fixture. The market settles on the exact scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." Current Polymarket order book pricing implies an 8% probability for the specific outcome selected, reflecting the inherent difficulty of predicting precise match scores in professional football.
Exact-score markets in La Liga typically see low probabilities for individual outcomes because even heavily favoured teams produce varied results. Barcelona's recent seasons show they generate 1–3 goals per match against mid-table opposition, whilst Betis similarly ranges across a wide distribution. Historical data from comparable fixtures suggests the most common outcomes cluster around 2–0, 2–1, and 1–1 results, yet no single scoreline accounts for more than 12–15% of matches. The 8% implied probability here sits within the normal range for a plausible but non-dominant outcome.
Traders should monitor Barcelona's squad fitness and rotation decisions as the season concludes, particularly if title or European qualification remains contested. Betis' form in the weeks preceding the match will also influence expected goal output. Weather conditions at Camp Nou and any late tactical announcements from either manager could shift expected scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing only pre-match trading; live-match information will not affect resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $54K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: