Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the K-League game, scheduled for May 13 at 6:30 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5) | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
Bucheon FC 1995 will face Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC in a K-League match on 13 May at 6:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 14% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a relatively low likelihood of additional betting markets materialising for this fixture. This probability has formed through the cumulative positioning of traders responding to the settlement criteria and the typical liquidity patterns observed in niche sports markets on the platform.
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC operates as one of South Korea's most established clubs, having won multiple K-League titles, whilst Bucheon FC 1995 competes at a lower tier within Korean football's structure. Historical precedent shows that market depth for K-League fixtures varies considerably depending on fixture prominence, with matches involving top-tier clubs attracting broader market coverage. The 14% probability reflects scepticism about whether this particular matchup will generate sufficient trader interest to justify additional derivative markets beyond standard outcomes.
Traders should monitor K-League scheduling announcements and any fixture postponements through the official K-League website, as cancellations or rescheduling would directly affect settlement. Polymarket's order book activity in the final days before the 13 May settlement window closes will indicate whether late-arriving liquidity shifts the probability materially. Fixture-day weather conditions and team injury announcements, typically released 24–48 hours prior, may influence whether secondary markets emerge as traders seek hedging instruments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$353 in lifetime turnover and $63K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $228 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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