Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 24 at 12:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Tochigi SC (-1.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Tochigi SC (-2.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% YES | 59% NO |
Vanraure Hachinohe FC and Tochigi SC will meet in the J2 League on 24 May 2026, with settlement occurring at 04:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 43% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating moderate conviction among traders that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are currently willing to transact.
J2 League fixtures typically attract supplementary market creation when clubs have established supporter bases or when regional derbies generate trading interest. Vanraure Hachinohe, based in Aomori Prefecture, and Tochigi SC, located in the Kanto region, represent geographically distinct markets. Historical precedent suggests that mid-table J2 matchups receive expanded market offerings roughly 60–70% of the time, particularly when fixtures fall on weekends or bank holidays. The 43% probability sits below this baseline, suggesting traders may be pricing in either lower-than-typical interest or uncertainty about Polymarket's market expansion strategy for this specific pairing.
Traders should monitor official J2 League announcements regarding fixture scheduling changes, any injury updates affecting key players, and Polymarket's own market-creation calendar. Recent fixture data and attendance figures for both clubs will provide context for whether this match warrants the operational cost of additional markets. Settlement depends on whether Polymarket's operators decide to list supplementary markets before the 24 May deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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