Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 3 at 5:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kagoshima United FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kagoshima United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Ryūkyū will face Kagoshima United FC in the J2 League on 3 May 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. This fixture falls within Japan's second-tier professional football competition, the J2 100 Year Vision League, which operates under the Japan Football Association's structural framework. The match represents a standard league encounter between two clubs competing for promotion and points in a 42-match seasonal format.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal liquidity and positioning in this particular market cluster at present. J2 League matches typically attract limited speculative interest on Western prediction markets compared to top-tier European fixtures, resulting in sparse order books and wide spreads. Historical precedent suggests that niche football markets in lower-tier Japanese leagues often remain dormant until closer to event settlement, with meaningful price discovery occurring only days before kickoff when Asian-based traders become active.
Traders monitoring this market should track official J2 League fixture confirmations, team injury announcements, and weather conditions in Okinawa and Kagoshima prefectures in the days preceding the match. Recent squad news from both clubs' official channels and the J.League's official website will inform baseline expectations. The settlement window closes on 3 May at 09:00 UTC, providing a narrow window for final position adjustments once European trading hours overlap with Asian morning activity.
FC Ryukyu Okinawa is a Japanese professional football club based in Okinawa. The club plays in the J3 League, Japanese third tier of professional football. The team's home stadium is Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Ryūkyū vs. Kagoshima United FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$46K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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