Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Blaublitz Akita and Thespa Gunma, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Blaublitz Akita vs. Thespa Gunma match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Blaublitz Akita will face Thespa Gunma in the J2 League on 17 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders view the listed exact scores as moderately likely relative to "Any Other Score." This probability distribution typically emerges when multiple specific scorelines carry meaningful weight rather than one dominant result, which is common in second-tier Japanese football where competitive balance tends to produce varied match outcomes.
Historical data from J2 League seasons shows that exact-score markets in this division rarely concentrate probability heavily on a single result. The league's competitive structure, with 20 teams playing 38 matches, produces relatively even distribution across common scorelines like 1–1, 1–0, and 2–1. Neither Blaublitz Akita nor Thespa Gunma have established themselves as dominant forces in recent seasons, reinforcing expectations of competitive matches where draws and narrow victories occur frequently.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury reports and squad rotation patterns as the season approaches its conclusion. The timing of this fixture—late in the season—may influence tactical approaches and player availability. Recent J2 League standings and form guides published by the Japan Football Association will clarify whether either side enters the match with specific objectives that might shape attacking or defensive approach, potentially affecting the likelihood of particular scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Blaublitz Akita vs. Thespa Gunma - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $745 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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