Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for May 22 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Südtirol (-1.5) | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| SSC Bari (-1.5) | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| FC Südtirol (-2.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| SSC Bari (-2.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
FC Südtirol and SSC Bari will meet in Serie B on 22 May 2026 at 14:00 ET. This fixture represents a standard mid-table or relegation-battle encounter in Italy's second division, where both clubs compete for promotion or survival depending on their respective league positions at that point in the season. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on the scheduled match date.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 36% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a moderate likelihood of additional betting markets becoming available for this fixture. Historical precedent shows that Serie B matches typically generate supplementary markets—including player performance props, corner totals, and card markets—particularly when fixtures involve clubs with established supporter bases or when matches carry playoff implications. The probability formation today reflects both the standard market-making activity around lower-tier Italian football and any specific circumstances surrounding these two clubs' positions in the 2025–26 season.
Traders should monitor official Serie B scheduling confirmations and any late fixture changes, as rescheduling occasionally affects market proliferation. Additionally, watch for announcements regarding broadcast partnerships or sponsorship arrangements, which can influence whether bookmakers and prediction platforms expand their market offerings. Injury news or managerial changes in the fortnight before the match may also shift trader expectations about match significance and thus secondary market creation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaserieb.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaserieb.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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