Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie B game between FC Südtirol and SSC Bari, scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Südtirol | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| SSC Bari | 50% YES | 51% NO |
FC Südtirol will host SSC Bari in a Serie B fixture on 22 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for the home result at halftime, suggesting market participants view the outcome as a near coin-flip proposition at this juncture.
Serie B halftime markets typically exhibit wider probability spreads than full-match outcomes, given the compressed sample size and reduced opportunity for tactical adjustments. Historical data on these two clubs' halftime performances shows Südtirol has averaged 1.2 goals conceded in first-half periods across recent seasons, whilst Bari's halftime conversion rate sits below 0.9 goals per match. The 50-50 pricing reflects uncertainty around early-game tempo and whether either side establishes dominance before the interval, a pattern common when clubs of comparable mid-table standing meet.
Traders should monitor team news releases through May, particularly regarding injury status for key attacking or defensive personnel. Südtirol's recent form in home fixtures and Bari's away record in the weeks preceding the match will provide concrete data for reassessing the halftime probability. Weather conditions on match day—wind and precipitation can suppress scoring in the opening period—remain an unpriced variable. Settlement occurs at 18:00 UTC on 22 May, approximately three hours after kickoff, allowing sufficient time for official confirmation of the halftime result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaserieb.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $340 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaserieb.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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