Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Bautista Otegui and Boris Butulija in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Otegui' if Juan Bautista Otegui advances against Boris Butulija. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Juan Bautista Otegui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Juan Bautista Otegui vs Boris Butulija | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Juan Bautista Otegui and Boris Butulija are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kursumlijska Banja tournament on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of liquidity in this particular market or a technical issue with order placement, as professional tennis matches between ranked competitors rarely settle with zero probability assigned to either participant before the event date.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this tier historically demonstrate significant volatility in outcomes, with upsets occurring regularly due to variable player form, surface adaptation, and injury status. Comparable markets on lower-ranked professional tennis fixtures typically show wider probability spreads than major tour events, reflecting genuine uncertainty about player readiness and recent performance. Without recent tournament results or head-to-head history readily available for these specific competitors, traders should treat the current zero probability as a liquidity signal rather than a meaningful market assessment.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation as the May date approaches, any injury announcements, and ITF tournament schedule updates. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Traders should monitor ITF rankings and recent match results for both players in the weeks preceding the fixture, as these directly influence match outcomes at this competitive level.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Juan Bautista Otegui vs Boris Butulija" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$98 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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